Vårgårda vs Falkenbergs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
5.4%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.9%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
1.5%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
4.3%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.4%
81.3%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
22%
0-2
15.7%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
23.2%
0-3
13.1%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
17.6%
0-4
8.2%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
10.4%
0-5
4.1%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
5%
0-6
1.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vårgårda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
NOR
1 - 1
VAG
64%
18%
18%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2019 |
VAG
1 - 2
IFK
45%
22%
33%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2019 |
TFC
3 - 1
VAG
29%
22%
49%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | -2 |
| 29 Jun. 2019 |
VAG
1 - 2
SAV
28%
21%
51%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 2019 |
VFK
3 - 1
VAG
44%
22%
34%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Falkenbergs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
MFF
5 - 0
FAL
77%
16%
7%
|
61 | 84 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2019 |
GÖT
1 - 1
FAL
61%
22%
17%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
FAL
1 - 1
HEL
34%
26%
41%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
FAL
2 - 0
GIF
35%
27%
38%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
ORE
4 - 0
FAL
53%
24%
23%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -1 |