Varesina vs Voghera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.9%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.1%
32%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+44%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varesina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
BOR
2 - 0
VAR
75%
16%
10%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
VAR
1 - 5
INV
23%
20%
57%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | -3 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
FOL
0 - 0
VAR
66%
19%
16%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
VAR
3 - 3
CUN
17%
25%
59%
|
26 | 46 | 20 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
VER
3 - 3
VAR
28%
24%
48%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Voghera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
VOG
1 - 2
CAS
45%
25%
30%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
UNI
1 - 1
VOG
82%
13%
6%
|
27 | 46 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
VOG
2 - 1
PIN
58%
21%
21%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
SET
0 - 1
VOG
29%
25%
46%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
VOG
2 - 1
ASD
28%
25%
47%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | +1 |