Varesina vs Inveruno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.1%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
29.4%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varesina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
CAR
1 - 1
VAR
29%
23%
48%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
VAR
1 - 2
LEC
38%
23%
39%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
VAR
2 - 1
MAP
70%
17%
13%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
SER
2 - 2
VAR
57%
21%
22%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
VAR
1 - 1
PRO
60%
20%
20%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Inveruno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
INV
1 - 1
PER
53%
22%
25%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
PSM
1 - 0
INV
36%
23%
41%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
CIS
0 - 3
INV
54%
22%
25%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
INV
0 - 2
PIA
23%
23%
53%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
FOL
1 - 1
INV
34%
24%
43%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |