Varesina vs Folgore Caratese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.6%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.9%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
40.7%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varesina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
CUN
1 - 0
VAR
71%
17%
12%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
VAR
4 - 2
VER
76%
15%
9%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
BUS
0 - 0
VAR
48%
23%
30%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
VAR
0 - 3
CHI
32%
23%
45%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
GOZ
0 - 2
VAR
51%
22%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Folgore Caratese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
FOL
3 - 1
CHI
35%
26%
39%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2016 |
CAR
0 - 1
FOL
63%
23%
14%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
UNI
0 - 1
FOL
87%
10%
3%
|
35 | 57 | 22 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
FOL
1 - 3
PRO
60%
23%
17%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
SET
1 - 1
FOL
22%
26%
52%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | -1 |