Varesina vs Ciserano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.6%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
24.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varesina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
VBE
0 - 1
VAR
32%
23%
46%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
VAR
2 - 1
INV
48%
22%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
CAR
1 - 1
VAR
29%
23%
48%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
VAR
1 - 2
LEC
38%
23%
39%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
VAR
2 - 1
MAP
70%
17%
13%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Ciserano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
CIS
1 - 3
PER
54%
23%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
PSM
2 - 1
CIS
35%
24%
41%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
CIS
2 - 2
GRU
39%
23%
38%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
PIA
2 - 2
CIS
75%
16%
9%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
CIS
0 - 3
INV
54%
22%
25%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | -1 |