Varesina vs Chieri analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.2%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.3%
20%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
64.8%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
11%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+44%
-40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varesina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2018 |
BOR
2 - 1
VAR
49%
23%
28%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
VAR
0 - 1
SER
43%
24%
33%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
CAS
0 - 2
VAR
21%
23%
56%
|
27 | 16 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
VAR
2 - 2
PAV
13%
21%
67%
|
25 | 44 | 19 | +2 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
BOR
1 - 1
VAR
65%
21%
14%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Chieri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2018 |
CHI
1 - 3
COM
25%
25%
50%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
OLG
1 - 1
CHI
16%
22%
62%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
CHI
1 - 1
FOL
66%
20%
14%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
GOZ
0 - 1
CHI
57%
22%
21%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
CHI
1 - 1
ASD
62%
21%
17%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |