Varesina vs Chieri analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.2%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
4%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
45.3%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-61%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varesina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
GOZ
0 - 2
VAR
51%
22%
27%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
PRO
2 - 1
VAR
50%
23%
27%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
VAR
2 - 1
ASD
71%
17%
12%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
CAS
0 - 0
VAR
35%
24%
41%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
VAR
1 - 2
UNI
14%
22%
64%
|
32 | 58 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Chieri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
CHI
2 - 0
ASD
80%
14%
6%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2016 |
CUN
2 - 2
CHI
45%
27%
28%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
UNI
2 - 4
CHI
78%
15%
7%
|
35 | 57 | 22 | +2 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
CHI
0 - 0
PRO
59%
22%
19%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
SET
1 - 1
CHI
18%
23%
59%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | 0 |