Varesina vs Casale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
35.7%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varesina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
UNI
1 - 0
VAR
86%
11%
4%
|
27 | 52 | 25 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
PIN
2 - 0
VAR
31%
23%
46%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | -3 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
VAR
3 - 3
SET
66%
19%
15%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2016 |
CAR
3 - 2
VAR
75%
17%
8%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
VAR
0 - 3
VAR
13%
22%
65%
|
31 | 60 | 29 | -1 |
Matches
Casale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
CAS
2 - 2
CHI
20%
23%
58%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
PRO
0 - 0
CAS
55%
24%
22%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2016 |
CAS
2 - 1
ASD
58%
23%
19%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
CAS
2 - 2
PIN
67%
19%
14%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
SET
0 - 0
CAS
26%
25%
49%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | -1 |