Varesina vs Bustese Milano City FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.9%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.1%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
45.3%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
9%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varesina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2017 |
VAR
2 - 1
VER
58%
22%
20%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
VAR
3 - 1
PIN
58%
20%
22%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
SET
0 - 2
VAR
38%
27%
36%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
VAR
0 - 0
CAR
19%
24%
57%
|
24 | 42 | 18 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
VAR
2 - 0
VAR
89%
9%
3%
|
24 | 57 | 33 | 0 |
Matches
Bustese Milano City FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2017 |
BUS
3 - 0
UNI
13%
19%
68%
|
28 | 47 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
BUS
3 - 2
INV
18%
19%
63%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | +2 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
VAR
2 - 1
BUS
87%
10%
3%
|
26 | 57 | 31 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
BUS
2 - 3
BOR
22%
23%
55%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
FOL
0 - 1
BUS
66%
18%
15%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | +1 |