Varesina vs OltrepòVoghera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.7%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
35.5%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varesina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
GOZ
2 - 0
VAR
80%
14%
6%
|
28 | 49 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2018 |
INV
0 - 1
VAR
74%
17%
10%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
VAR
3 - 1
CAS
30%
24%
46%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | +2 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
VAR
0 - 1
CHI
15%
20%
65%
|
25 | 42 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2018 |
BOR
2 - 1
VAR
49%
23%
28%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
OltrepòVoghera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
ASD
0 - 0
COM
11%
20%
69%
|
30 | 51 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
OLG
1 - 1
ASD
46%
23%
31%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
ASD
0 - 0
FOL
39%
24%
37%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
GOZ
3 - 0
ASD
77%
16%
8%
|
30 | 48 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2018 |
ASD
1 - 0
ASD
28%
22%
50%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | +2 |