Varesina vs AS Bra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.3%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
25%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
42.7%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varesina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
OLG
0 - 0
VAR
65%
21%
14%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
VAR
0 - 1
ASD
42%
23%
36%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
GOZ
2 - 0
VAR
80%
14%
6%
|
28 | 49 | 21 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2018 |
INV
0 - 1
VAR
74%
17%
10%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
VAR
3 - 1
CAS
30%
24%
46%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
AS Bra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
ASD
1 - 2
COM
15%
22%
63%
|
34 | 51 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
OLG
1 - 1
ASD
38%
26%
37%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
ASD
0 - 1
FOL
57%
22%
21%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
ASD
0 - 5
GOZ
25%
26%
49%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | -3 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
VAR
0 - 2
ASD
70%
18%
12%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | +3 |