Varesina vs AS Bra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.1%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.7%
12.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+44%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varesina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
CAS
0 - 0
VAR
35%
24%
41%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
VAR
1 - 2
UNI
14%
22%
64%
|
31 | 58 | 27 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
VAR
0 - 2
VAR
8%
15%
77%
|
31 | 59 | 28 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
MAP
0 - 0
VAR
30%
23%
46%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
VAR
1 - 1
SER
37%
23%
40%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
AS Bra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
ASD
1 - 2
BOR
41%
25%
35%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
PRO
1 - 0
ASD
67%
20%
13%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
ASD
1 - 3
CUN
25%
25%
50%
|
22 | 42 | 20 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
ASD
6 - 0
NOV
84%
11%
5%
|
21 | 12 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
DER
3 - 1
ASD
43%
26%
31%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | -1 |