Varesina vs AC Monza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
33.1%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varesina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
PIA
1 - 0
VAR
78%
15%
7%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
VAR
2 - 2
PER
51%
23%
26%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
FOL
0 - 0
VAR
30%
23%
47%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
VAR
0 - 0
CIS
54%
22%
25%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
VBE
0 - 1
VAR
32%
23%
46%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
PER
0 - 0
ASS
38%
27%
35%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
ASS
1 - 3
PSM
77%
14%
9%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
CIS
2 - 1
ASS
34%
24%
42%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
ASS
0 - 2
PIA
34%
25%
41%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | -2 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
INV
1 - 2
ASS
34%
24%
42%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | +1 |