Varese U19 vs Parma U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.8%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.6%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.1%
63%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
12.7%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varese U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
SPE
2 - 1
VAR
79%
14%
7%
|
13 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
VAR
0 - 0
BOL
20%
24%
56%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
SAM
4 - 0
VAR
80%
14%
6%
|
13 | 23 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
VAR
0 - 3
CAR
72%
17%
11%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
JUV
4 - 3
VAR
84%
11%
5%
|
14 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Parma U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
SAM
2 - 2
PAR
53%
23%
24%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
PAR
1 - 0
CAR
75%
15%
9%
|
22 | 13 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2015 |
SPE
3 - 1
PAR
47%
23%
30%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
PAR
2 - 2
FIO
15%
20%
66%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
VIR
1 - 2
PAR
52%
22%
26%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | +1 |