Varese U19 vs Padova U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.4%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
19.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varese U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
SAS
0 - 0
VAR
30%
24%
45%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
VAR
2 - 1
CHI
34%
27%
39%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | +2 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
MOD
1 - 3
VAR
23%
24%
53%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2013 |
INT
1 - 0
VAR
61%
22%
18%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
VAR
1 - 3
MIL
39%
25%
36%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Padova U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
PAD
2 - 1
MOD
65%
20%
15%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2013 |
PAD
2 - 0
BRE
58%
22%
20%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
BOL
1 - 0
PAD
58%
22%
21%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
PAD
4 - 1
MIL
14%
19%
67%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | +5 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
CES
2 - 1
PAD
67%
19%
14%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | 0 |