Varese U19 vs Milan U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.1%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
43.4%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varese U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
VAR
3 - 0
CAR
67%
19%
14%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
TER
2 - 2
VAR
12%
21%
67%
|
37 | 10 | 27 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
PAD
1 - 0
VAR
30%
26%
44%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
VAR
2 - 1
CIT
76%
15%
9%
|
38 | 18 | 20 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
VIR
1 - 1
VAR
12%
20%
68%
|
39 | 9 | 30 | -1 |
Matches
Milan U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2013 |
MIL
2 - 6
FCB
59%
21%
20%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2013 |
AJA
2 - 3
MIL
29%
21%
50%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
MIL
3 - 0
CAG
79%
13%
8%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
VER
1 - 1
MIL
16%
19%
65%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2013 |
MIL
3 - 1
CEL
80%
12%
7%
|
42 | 21 | 21 | -1 |