Varese U19 vs Fiorentina U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
4.9%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.8%
1-0
2.3%
2-1
1.4%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
4%
13%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
13%
82.1%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
16.2%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
23.3%
0-3
13.5%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
17.9%
0-4
8.5%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
10.7%
0-5
4.3%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
5.2%
0-6
1.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
2.1%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varese U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
VIR
1 - 0
VAR
82%
12%
6%
|
12 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
VAR
0 - 1
PRO
24%
23%
53%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
VAR
1 - 5
PAR
15%
22%
63%
|
14 | 24 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
SPE
2 - 1
VAR
79%
14%
7%
|
14 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
VAR
0 - 0
BOL
20%
24%
56%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Fiorentina U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
JUV
2 - 3
FIO
34%
23%
43%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
VIR
1 - 0
FIO
16%
18%
67%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | -2 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
FIO
3 - 2
TOR
55%
23%
22%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
MOD
0 - 5
FIO
6%
14%
80%
|
37 | 13 | 24 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2015 |
FIO
3 - 1
GEN
82%
12%
5%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | 0 |