Varese U19 vs Cittadella U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.4%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.5%
11.1%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varese U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
BOL
0 - 2
VAR
35%
25%
40%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
CHI
1 - 0
VAR
56%
24%
21%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
CES
0 - 0
VAR
22%
23%
55%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2012 |
INT
3 - 1
VAR
61%
21%
18%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
VAR
1 - 0
ATA
56%
22%
22%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Cittadella U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
BRE
2 - 1
CIT
60%
20%
20%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
CIT
2 - 2
CES
51%
23%
26%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
CIT
0 - 5
ATA
29%
24%
47%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | -2 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
CIT
2 - 0
VER
36%
24%
40%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | +2 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
INT
4 - 1
CIT
76%
16%
9%
|
26 | 45 | 19 | 0 |