Varese U19 vs Bologna U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.4%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
56%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.3%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varese U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
SAM
4 - 0
VAR
80%
14%
6%
|
13 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
VAR
0 - 3
CAR
72%
17%
11%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
JUV
4 - 3
VAR
84%
11%
5%
|
14 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
TOR
1 - 0
VAR
86%
10%
4%
|
14 | 35 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
VAR
1 - 1
GEN
30%
26%
44%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Bologna U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2015 |
BOL
0 - 3
TOR
22%
25%
54%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
TRA
2 - 0
BOL
20%
21%
59%
|
22 | 13 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
BOL
1 - 1
GEN
61%
21%
18%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
FIO
2 - 0
BOL
76%
15%
9%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
BOL
1 - 2
PAR
58%
22%
20%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |