Varese U19 vs Bologna U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.2%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
10.9%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varese U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
VAR
3 - 3
CHI
51%
25%
24%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
VAR
4 - 0
CES
72%
17%
11%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
ATA
1 - 2
VAR
46%
26%
29%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | +2 |
| 12 Jun. 2011 |
ROM
3 - 2
VAR
50%
23%
27%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 2011 |
VAR
1 - 1
FIO
50%
24%
26%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Bologna U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2011 |
BOL
1 - 1
VER
33%
25%
43%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
CES
2 - 1
BOL
41%
25%
35%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
BOL
0 - 2
CHI
25%
27%
48%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
VIC
1 - 3
BOL
19%
24%
57%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
JUV
4 - 0
BOL
73%
17%
10%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | -1 |