CD Varea vs Villegas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
92.8%
Win probability
3.58
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.6%
8-0
1.3%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.5%
7-0
2.8%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
<0%
+7
3.4%
6-0
5.6%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
6.7%
5-0
9.3%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
11.7%
4-0
13.1%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
17%
3-0
14.6%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
20.3%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.7%
5.5%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
2.6%
2-2
0.9%
3-3
0.1%
4-4
<0%
0
5.5%
1.6%
Win probability
0.38
Expected goals
0-1
0.7%
1-2
0.5%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
1.3%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Varea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2015 |
VAR
2 - 3
CUL
34%
26%
40%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
VIA
0 - 3
VAR
10%
16%
75%
|
35 | 18 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
VAR
4 - 0
RIV
88%
8%
4%
|
35 | 17 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2015 |
VAR
2 - 3
OSA
56%
22%
23%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 2015 |
OSA
3 - 0
VAR
35%
24%
42%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Villegas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
VIL
0 - 4
ANG
10%
19%
71%
|
12 | 32 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
HAR
3 - 0
VIL
89%
8%
3%
|
12 | 36 | 24 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
TED
0 - 0
VIL
46%
24%
30%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
VIL
0 - 0
ANG
8%
18%
73%
|
11 | 31 | 20 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
CAS
1 - 2
VIL
50%
23%
28%
|
10 | 8 | 2 | +1 |