CD Varea vs Villegas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.8%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.1%
12.1%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Varea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2005 |
LOG
0 - 0
VAR
80%
14%
6%
|
23 | 47 | 24 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2005 |
VAR
1 - 2
ADL
19%
22%
59%
|
23 | 42 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2005 |
NAX
3 - 1
VAR
39%
25%
36%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | -2 |
| 24 Apr. 2005 |
VAR
0 - 0
COS
76%
16%
9%
|
25 | 14 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2005 |
SMC
2 - 2
VAR
34%
28%
39%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Villegas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2005 |
VIL
2 - 3
ANG
17%
22%
61%
|
16 | 34 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2005 |
CLH
4 - 1
VIL
82%
13%
6%
|
16 | 46 | 30 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2005 |
PRA
3 - 0
VIL
63%
20%
17%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2005 |
VIL
0 - 1
LOG
13%
22%
65%
|
17 | 50 | 33 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2005 |
ADL
7 - 0
VIL
81%
13%
6%
|
17 | 42 | 25 | 0 |