CD Varea vs Rapid de Murillo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.6%
Win probability
3.19
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3.3%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.3%
5-0
6.2%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.4%
4-0
9.7%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.1%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.3%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
9.2%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.2%
4.1%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Varea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
BER
0 - 1
VAR
8%
15%
78%
|
29 | 14 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
VAR
3 - 0
ANG
34%
22%
44%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
CDF
2 - 0
VAR
4%
11%
85%
|
30 | 7 | 23 | -2 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
VAR
1 - 3
RIV
88%
9%
4%
|
31 | 16 | 15 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
SDL
2 - 0
VAR
70%
18%
13%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Rapid de Murillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
RAP
2 - 0
VIA
56%
21%
23%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
RAP
1 - 1
AUT
20%
22%
58%
|
15 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
BER
4 - 1
RAP
31%
24%
45%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
RAP
0 - 3
ANG
10%
15%
75%
|
17 | 32 | 15 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
CDF
0 - 1
RAP
10%
17%
74%
|
17 | 8 | 9 | 0 |