CD Varea vs Peña Balsamaiso CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
90.9%
Win probability
3.44
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
1%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.2%
7-0
2.3%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.8%
6-0
4.7%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5.8%
5-0
8.1%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
10.5%
4-0
11.8%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
16.1%
3-0
13.8%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
20.1%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
7%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.2%
6.8%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
3.2%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
6.7%
2.3%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
1.9%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Varea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
CDF
2 - 2
VAR
7%
14%
80%
|
32 | 14 | 18 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
VAR
1 - 1
ALF
68%
17%
15%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
VIL
1 - 1
VAR
5%
12%
83%
|
32 | 11 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
VAR
2 - 1
VIA
91%
7%
2%
|
32 | 15 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
RIV
2 - 0
VAR
6%
12%
82%
|
35 | 14 | 21 | -3 |
Matches
Peña Balsamaiso CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
BAL
1 - 4
ANG
11%
19%
70%
|
13 | 33 | 20 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
HAR
6 - 0
BAL
88%
9%
3%
|
14 | 38 | 24 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
BAL
3 - 4
ARN
57%
22%
21%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
BAL
0 - 0
CDF
52%
23%
26%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
ALF
2 - 1
BAL
76%
16%
8%
|
14 | 24 | 10 | 0 |