Tercera Playoffs Galicia Quarter-finals
Global 4-3
CD Varea vs Novelda CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.5%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
32%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Varea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2013 |
VAR
2 - 1
VIA
78%
14%
7%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
NAX
0 - 2
VAR
38%
25%
37%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
VAR
7 - 0
ALD
89%
8%
2%
|
31 | 8 | 23 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2013 |
CAL
0 - 4
VAR
13%
20%
67%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
VAR
3 - 0
CDF
85%
10%
5%
|
30 | 12 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2013 |
ACE
2 - 0
NOV
27%
25%
48%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
NOV
3 - 1
BUR
58%
23%
19%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
RIB
2 - 0
NOV
16%
23%
61%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | -2 |
| 01 May. 2013 |
NOV
2 - 0
LLO
59%
23%
18%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
ELC
2 - 1
NOV
36%
26%
38%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | -1 |