CD Varea vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.7%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.7%
20%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20%
68.3%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
13.8%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.6%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Varea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
VAR
1 - 1
YAG
79%
13%
7%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
HAR
0 - 3
VAR
15%
19%
67%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
CDF
0 - 1
VAR
22%
23%
55%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2024 |
VAR
1 - 2
SAN
51%
23%
26%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
HAR
2 - 4
VAR
15%
21%
65%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
LUG
0 - 0
BAR
49%
28%
24%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
SES
0 - 1
LUG
42%
28%
30%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
LUG
0 - 0
SDA
28%
28%
44%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
CUL
2 - 0
LUG
48%
27%
25%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
COX
0 - 1
LUG
17%
24%
59%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | +1 |