CD Varea vs CF Ciudad Alfaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89.7%
Win probability
3.21
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.2%
6-0
4%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.8%
5-0
7.5%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
+5
9.3%
4-0
11.6%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
15.2%
3-0
14.5%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
20.2%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
7.7%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
3.6%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
7.7%
2.5%
Win probability
0.43
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.1%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Varea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
VAR
4 - 0
OYO
87%
9%
3%
|
38 | 20 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
VIL
0 - 1
VAR
7%
14%
79%
|
38 | 16 | 22 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
VAR
3 - 1
CDF
86%
10%
4%
|
38 | 19 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
RIV
0 - 3
VAR
9%
15%
76%
|
37 | 18 | 19 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
VAR
4 - 0
AGO
86%
10%
4%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
CF Ciudad Alfaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
CIU
2 - 0
VIL
42%
24%
34%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
CDF
4 - 1
CIU
67%
20%
13%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
CIU
0 - 2
RIV
37%
24%
39%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
AGO
3 - 2
CIU
64%
21%
15%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
CIU
2 - 0
NAX
10%
19%
71%
|
11 | 32 | 21 | +4 |