CD Varea vs La Calzada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
90.3%
Win probability
3.39
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.1%
7-0
2.1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.6%
6-0
4.4%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5.5%
5-0
7.8%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
10.1%
4-0
11.5%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
15.8%
3-0
13.6%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
20.1%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.6%
7.1%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
3.4%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
7.1%
2.5%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Varea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
ALF
0 - 3
VAR
13%
18%
69%
|
33 | 18 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
VAR
1 - 2
VIA
88%
9%
4%
|
34 | 15 | 19 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
VAR
2 - 2
IZA
31%
24%
45%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2020 |
SDL
1 - 1
VAR
56%
22%
22%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2020 |
VAR
1 - 0
CAS
66%
19%
15%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
La Calzada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
CDF
0 - 1
ALF
24%
22%
55%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
VIA
0 - 0
CDF
68%
19%
13%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
CDF
2 - 1
COM
27%
22%
51%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
UDL
6 - 0
CDF
88%
9%
3%
|
11 | 25 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
CAL
1 - 0
CDF
28%
24%
48%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | -1 |