CD Varea vs La Calzada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
92%
Win probability
3.57
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
1.2%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.4%
7-0
2.7%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
<0%
+7
3.2%
6-0
5.2%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
6.5%
5-0
8.8%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
11.3%
4-0
12.3%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
16.7%
3-0
13.8%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
20.1%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.1%
6%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
2.8%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
6%
1.9%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
0.6%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
1.6%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Varea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
VAR
1 - 0
AGO
92%
6%
2%
|
36 | 16 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
VIA
0 - 1
VAR
7%
13%
80%
|
36 | 13 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
VAR
5 - 2
RIV
92%
6%
2%
|
36 | 14 | 22 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
CAS
0 - 2
VAR
9%
15%
76%
|
36 | 15 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
VAR
2 - 2
NAX
56%
21%
23%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
La Calzada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
CDF
2 - 0
SMC
64%
20%
16%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
AGO
3 - 2
CDF
63%
20%
17%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
CDF
1 - 1
RAP
58%
21%
21%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
VIA
1 - 3
CDF
60%
20%
20%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
CDF
3 - 0
TED
22%
23%
55%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | +2 |