CD Varea vs CD Alfaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82%
Win probability
2.99
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.2%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.8%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.2%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.7%
11.6%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.6%
6.4%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Varea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
VIA
0 - 1
VAR
11%
18%
72%
|
35 | 18 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2021 |
COM
0 - 0
VAR
7%
13%
80%
|
35 | 15 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2021 |
VAR
5 - 0
BER
86%
10%
5%
|
35 | 16 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
VAR
2 - 1
AGO
82%
12%
6%
|
34 | 19 | 15 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2020 |
VAR
0 - 4
UDL
6%
15%
79%
|
35 | 71 | 36 | -1 |
Matches
CD Alfaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 2020 |
BER
1 - 2
ALF
33%
24%
44%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
ALF
2 - 0
COM
66%
18%
16%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
AGO
0 - 2
ALF
54%
22%
24%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
ALF
0 - 1
ANG
22%
22%
56%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
ALF
1 - 0
ARN
24%
22%
54%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | +1 |