CD Varea vs Casalarreina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.3%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
17.4%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+64%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
62
2º
8º
2º
37
7º
16º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
62 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 59 |
3º
|
51% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
51% | |
|
5º
|
54 | 57 |
5º
|
62.5% | |
|
6º
|
52 | 55 |
6º
|
94% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
55.5% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 35 |
9º
|
32.5% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
47% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 35 |
11º
|
2.5% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
6% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
71.5% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 24 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 19 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
14 | 14 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Varea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
CDF
2 - 1
VAR
39%
24%
37%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
NAX
1 - 2
VAR
50%
23%
27%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
VAR
4 - 1
BER
73%
16%
11%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
VAR
0 - 1
CDC
76%
14%
9%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
RIV
0 - 1
VAR
18%
22%
61%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Casalarreina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
CAS
1 - 4
NAX
42%
23%
36%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
CAS
2 - 1
CDC
69%
17%
14%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
COM
0 - 2
CAS
27%
24%
49%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2022 |
CAS
3 - 3
OYO
48%
23%
30%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
VIA
1 - 3
CAS
29%
25%
46%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | 0 |