CD Varea vs Casalarreina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
93%
Win probability
3.63
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.6%
8-0
1.3%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.6%
7-0
3%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
<0%
+7
3.5%
6-0
5.7%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
7%
5-0
9.5%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
11.9%
4-0
13%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
17.1%
3-0
14.4%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
20.2%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.3%
5.4%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
2.5%
2-2
0.9%
3-3
0.1%
4-4
<0%
0
5.4%
1.5%
Win probability
0.39
Expected goals
0-1
0.7%
1-2
0.5%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
1.3%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-69%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Varea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2017 |
VAR
0 - 2
SDL
39%
23%
38%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
SMC
1 - 5
VAR
5%
13%
82%
|
38 | 10 | 28 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
VAR
6 - 0
RAP
93%
5%
1%
|
38 | 9 | 29 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
TED
0 - 1
VAR
7%
14%
79%
|
38 | 15 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
VAR
2 - 0
ALF
74%
15%
11%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Casalarreina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2017 |
CAS
0 - 4
NAX
7%
15%
79%
|
11 | 40 | 29 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
OYO
5 - 2
CAS
76%
16%
9%
|
12 | 19 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
CAS
1 - 2
CLH
6%
13%
81%
|
12 | 46 | 34 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
UDL
4 - 0
CAS
83%
12%
5%
|
13 | 25 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
CAS
1 - 2
SDL
6%
13%
81%
|
13 | 41 | 28 | 0 |