CD Varea vs Calasancio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
94.6%
Win probability
3.73
Expected goals
10-0
0.3%
+10
0.3%
9-0
0.7%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.8%
8-0
1.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.9%
7-0
3.6%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
<0%
+7
4.1%
6-0
6.8%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
7.8%
5-0
10.9%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
12.9%
4-0
14.6%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
17.9%
3-0
15.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.2%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11%
4.3%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
1.9%
2-2
0.5%
3-3
0.1%
0
4.3%
0.9%
Win probability
0.28
Expected goals
0-1
0.5%
1-2
0.3%
2-3
0%
-1
0.8%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0%
-2
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Varea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
VIL
2 - 3
VAR
6%
13%
82%
|
36 | 12 | 24 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
VAR
4 - 1
CDF
92%
6%
2%
|
36 | 14 | 22 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
VAR
1 - 0
AGO
92%
6%
2%
|
36 | 16 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
VIA
0 - 1
VAR
7%
13%
80%
|
36 | 13 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
VAR
5 - 2
RIV
92%
6%
2%
|
36 | 14 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Calasancio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
CAL
0 - 2
AGO
15%
23%
62%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
VIA
2 - 0
CAL
71%
18%
12%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
CAL
1 - 1
RIV
19%
22%
59%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
CAS
0 - 0
CAL
81%
13%
6%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
CAL
0 - 5
NAX
5%
14%
81%
|
10 | 36 | 26 | -1 |