CD Varea vs Autol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.2%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.8%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.5%
9.3%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Varea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
VIA
1 - 1
VAR
7%
14%
79%
|
29 | 13 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
VAR
2 - 2
RAP
87%
9%
4%
|
30 | 16 | 14 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
BER
0 - 1
VAR
8%
15%
78%
|
29 | 14 | 15 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
VAR
3 - 0
ANG
34%
22%
44%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
CDF
2 - 0
VAR
4%
11%
85%
|
30 | 7 | 23 | -2 |
Matches
Autol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
AUT
1 - 1
OYO
74%
16%
10%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
VIA
0 - 1
AUT
18%
22%
60%
|
22 | 13 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
AUT
0 - 1
AGO
86%
10%
4%
|
22 | 10 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
RAP
1 - 1
AUT
20%
22%
58%
|
23 | 15 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
AUT
0 - 2
CAL
84%
12%
5%
|
24 | 13 | 11 | -1 |