CD Varea vs Arnedo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.7%
Win probability
3.08
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3.5%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.3%
5-0
6.9%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
8.6%
4-0
11.2%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.5%
3-0
14.6%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.1%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.8%
8.5%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
4%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
8.5%
2.8%
Win probability
0.43
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.3%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Varea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
CAL
1 - 3
VAR
7%
15%
78%
|
32 | 16 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2014 |
SOM
3 - 0
VAR
40%
25%
36%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | -2 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
VAR
2 - 1
CLH
67%
19%
14%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
TED
0 - 3
VAR
13%
18%
70%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2014 |
VAR
5 - 3
CDT
44%
24%
33%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Arnedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
ARN
0 - 1
VIL
48%
25%
27%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
CDF
1 - 0
ARN
55%
24%
22%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
ARN
2 - 2
RIV
23%
24%
53%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
ARN
0 - 1
OYO
20%
25%
56%
|
15 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
VAR
0 - 0
ARN
88%
9%
3%
|
15 | 35 | 20 | 0 |