CD Varea vs Anguiano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.2%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
17.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Varea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
ANG
2 - 3
VAR
32%
23%
45%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
VAR
2 - 3
NAX
40%
23%
38%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
BER
4 - 5
VAR
16%
20%
64%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2023 |
CDC
1 - 5
VAR
21%
22%
57%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
VAR
3 - 1
RIV
76%
14%
9%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Anguiano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
ANG
2 - 3
VAR
32%
23%
45%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
VIA
1 - 0
ANG
21%
23%
56%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
ANG
5 - 1
YAG
80%
13%
7%
|
27 | 15 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2023 |
HAR
0 - 2
ANG
28%
24%
48%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
ANG
1 - 1
CDF
55%
22%
23%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |