CD Varea vs Agoncillo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.4%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.1%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.8%
3-0
13.1%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.5%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
11.7%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11.7%
4.8%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Varea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
ALF
3 - 3
VAR
65%
19%
16%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
VAR
5 - 0
BAL
82%
12%
6%
|
31 | 15 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
ANG
1 - 0
VAR
19%
21%
61%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
VAR
3 - 1
VIL
85%
11%
5%
|
32 | 15 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
CAL
0 - 3
VAR
8%
16%
76%
|
32 | 16 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Agoncillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
AGO
0 - 1
CLH
17%
23%
60%
|
17 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
HAR
1 - 0
AGO
84%
12%
4%
|
17 | 39 | 22 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
AGO
1 - 0
SMC
79%
14%
7%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
AGO
5 - 1
ALB
24%
23%
53%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
ALF
1 - 2
AGO
87%
10%
3%
|
15 | 38 | 23 | +1 |