Varea Sub 19 vs SD Logroñés Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.9%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
29.8%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+631%
+144%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
2º
11º
10º
39
5º
15º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 59 |
1º
|
73% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 58 |
2º
|
73% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 45 |
5º
|
28% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 45 |
6º
|
28% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 43 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
40 | 43 |
8º
|
35% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
9º
|
44% | |
|
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
10º
|
64.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
39 | 40 |
11º
|
17.5% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 39 |
12º
|
53% | |
|
13º
|
35 | 35 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 18 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 16 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varea Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
ALF
2 - 0
VAR
27%
22%
51%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
VAR
0 - 3
CAL
44%
23%
34%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | -2 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
NAX
4 - 4
VAR
12%
16%
72%
|
12 | 5 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
VAR
0 - 2
UDL
47%
21%
32%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
COM
1 - 0
VAR
41%
22%
36%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
SD Logroñés Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
SDL
0 - 4
VAL
22%
21%
57%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
CDE
3 - 1
SDL
67%
17%
16%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
SDL
2 - 1
PRA
35%
21%
44%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
CLU
3 - 1
SDL
58%
20%
22%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
SDL
4 - 3
OYO
48%
22%
31%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | 0 |