Varea U19 vs Autol Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.1%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
21%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21%
32.8%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+81%
+434%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
11º
16º
14º
17
12º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 49 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
49 | 49 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
47 | 47 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
45 | 45 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
42 | 42 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 28 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
27 | 27 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
17 | 17 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
12 | 12 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varea U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
OYO
0 - 1
VAR
64%
19%
18%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
VAR
1 - 1
BER
11%
15%
74%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
VAR
0 - 0
CAL
15%
20%
65%
|
6 | 13 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
CDV
5 - 2
VAR
87%
9%
3%
|
6 | 16 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
VAR
1 - 4
ALF
11%
17%
72%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Autol Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
AUT
3 - 7
CAL
24%
22%
54%
|
8 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
CDV
4 - 1
AUT
77%
14%
9%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
AUT
5 - 2
ALF
11%
16%
73%
|
6 | 16 | 10 | +3 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
COM
3 - 3
AUT
58%
19%
23%
|
6 | 8 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2024 |
AUT
1 - 0
ARN
34%
21%
45%
|
5 | 6 | 1 | +1 |