Varea U19 vs Arnedo U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.2%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.1%
31.7%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
4%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+81%
+99%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
11º
16º
14º
12
13º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 49 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
49 | 49 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
47 | 47 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
45 | 45 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
42 | 42 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 28 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
27 | 27 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
17 | 17 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
12 | 12 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varea U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
PRA
2 - 2
VAR
76%
14%
10%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
VAR
2 - 4
UDL
6%
13%
81%
|
7 | 21 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
SDL
3 - 0
VAR
78%
13%
9%
|
8 | 14 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
VAR
0 - 4
LAC
27%
22%
52%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
VAL
2 - 1
VAR
82%
12%
5%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Arnedo U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
ARN
0 - 2
CAL
14%
19%
68%
|
6 | 14 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
CDV
3 - 0
ARN
84%
11%
5%
|
6 | 17 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
ARN
0 - 1
ALF
9%
16%
75%
|
6 | 16 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
COM
5 - 3
ARN
52%
20%
28%
|
6 | 8 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
ARN
0 - 1
BER
19%
19%
63%
|
6 | 12 | 6 | 0 |