Varde vs Brøndby IF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.4%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.9%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
68.2%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.8%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
VAR
1 - 3
JAM
36%
26%
38%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
SVE
3 - 1
VAR
46%
24%
31%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
VAR
1 - 0
SKI
62%
20%
17%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
BRA
0 - 0
VAR
41%
25%
34%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2010 |
LYS
0 - 5
VAR
16%
20%
64%
|
47 | 25 | 22 | +1 |
Matches
Brøndby IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
FCK
2 - 0
BIF
53%
24%
24%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
BIF
3 - 1
SON
68%
20%
12%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
LYN
3 - 3
BIF
24%
25%
51%
|
82 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2010 |
BIF
0 - 3
SCP
35%
27%
38%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
BIF
2 - 2
OBK
48%
25%
27%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |