Varde IF Elite vs Thisted analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.6%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.5%
1-0
4%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.2%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
62.9%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
9%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
18.8%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
4%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
11.8%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varde IF Elite
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2019 |
KOL
3 - 5
VAR
31%
23%
47%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
VAR
3 - 3
HER
17%
22%
62%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2019 |
ODD
3 - 3
VAR
52%
24%
24%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
VAR
2 - 1
MAR
53%
21%
26%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2019 |
VAR
3 - 1
TAR
33%
22%
44%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Thisted
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
MID
5 - 1
THI
59%
21%
20%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
THI
3 - 1
DAL
70%
18%
12%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
BRA
1 - 2
THI
61%
21%
18%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2019 |
THI
0 - 0
JAM
39%
25%
36%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
RIN
1 - 3
THI
23%
22%
56%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | +1 |