Varde IF Elite vs AC Horsens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.3%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.2%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
1.9%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
4.9%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.6%
80.1%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
14.1%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.6%
0-3
12.1%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17.3%
0-4
7.7%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
10.4%
0-5
4%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
-5
5.1%
0-6
1.7%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
2.1%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varde IF Elite
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
VAR
0 - 0
TAR
55%
21%
24%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2021 |
SYD
1 - 0
VAR
58%
21%
22%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2021 |
BOL
3 - 2
VAR
31%
23%
46%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | -2 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
VAR
2 - 0
B19
62%
19%
19%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2021 |
VAR
3 - 0
B19
55%
22%
23%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
AC Horsens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
LYN
1 - 2
ACH
53%
24%
23%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
ACH
2 - 1
JAM
55%
24%
21%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2021 |
VEN
1 - 2
ACH
21%
26%
52%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2021 |
ESB
0 - 0
ACH
37%
27%
37%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2021 |
ACH
0 - 1
FCH
39%
26%
35%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |