FK Vardar vs Turnovo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.6%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
13.6%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Vardar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
TET
1 - 1
VAR
32%
30%
39%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
VAR
2 - 0
REN
45%
27%
29%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
RAB
1 - 1
VAR
62%
22%
16%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
VAR
0 - 0
MET
57%
24%
19%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
PEL
1 - 0
VAR
43%
28%
29%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Turnovo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
HTR
0 - 1
TET
49%
27%
25%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
REN
2 - 0
HTR
66%
21%
13%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
HTR
0 - 1
RAB
35%
31%
35%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
MET
1 - 1
HTR
53%
26%
21%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2010 |
HTR
0 - 1
VAR
37%
29%
34%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | -1 |