FK Vardar vs Turnovo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.2%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
15.8%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Vardar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
PEL
1 - 0
VAR
39%
28%
33%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
VAR
1 - 2
RAB
52%
27%
21%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
MIL
0 - 4
VAR
50%
25%
25%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
VAR
0 - 0
MET
67%
21%
13%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2009 |
JUG
1 - 0
VAR
23%
28%
49%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Turnovo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
HTR
0 - 1
MAK
33%
29%
38%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
TET
1 - 0
HTR
34%
28%
38%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
HTR
2 - 0
SIL
39%
28%
34%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
HTR
2 - 2
REN
31%
29%
40%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
PEL
1 - 2
HTR
52%
26%
23%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +1 |