FK Vardar vs Tikvesh analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.3%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
39.3%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
8º
12º
10º
44
1º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 64 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Vardar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2024 |
SIL
1 - 1
VAR
54%
25%
21%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
VAR
1 - 0
MAK
38%
27%
35%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
BRE
0 - 3
VAR
48%
26%
26%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
AKP
2 - 0
VAR
53%
25%
22%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
VAR
0 - 1
VOK
35%
26%
39%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Tikvesh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2024 |
TIK
0 - 0
VOK
42%
26%
33%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
RAB
3 - 1
TIK
39%
28%
34%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
TIK
3 - 2
FCS
34%
28%
38%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
SHK
3 - 2
TIK
62%
23%
16%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
TIK
2 - 1
SHK
30%
27%
44%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | +1 |