FK Vardar vs KF Shkëndija analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.5%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.6%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.1%
52.4%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
8º
12º
10º
64
1º
3º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 64 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Vardar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
GOS
0 - 0
VAR
54%
25%
22%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2024 |
VAR
1 - 0
RAB
38%
28%
35%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
SHK
3 - 0
VAR
64%
23%
14%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
VAR
2 - 0
BRE
36%
26%
38%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
GOS
1 - 1
VAR
56%
24%
20%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
KF Shkëndija
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
SHK
0 - 0
VOK
57%
24%
19%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2024 |
AKP
0 - 0
SHK
26%
26%
48%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
SHK
3 - 0
VAR
64%
23%
14%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
SHK
2 - 2
GOS
58%
24%
17%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
MAK
0 - 1
SHK
27%
27%
46%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |