FK Vardar vs KF Shkëndija analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.1%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
7%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.1%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
56.4%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
8º
12º
10º
64
1º
3º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 64 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Vardar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
BRE
0 - 0
VAR
52%
26%
22%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
VAR
0 - 2
GOS
51%
25%
24%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2023 |
BES
1 - 1
VAR
24%
22%
55%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
TIK
1 - 0
VAR
50%
26%
25%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
VAR
2 - 1
MAK
28%
27%
45%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
KF Shkëndija
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2023 |
SHK
1 - 0
FCS
45%
28%
26%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
GOS
2 - 2
SHK
19%
24%
57%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
SHK
1 - 0
MAK
45%
27%
28%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
SIL
2 - 1
SHK
35%
27%
39%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
WIL
1 - 3
SHK
35%
24%
42%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |