North Macedonia Cup Semi-finals
Global 2-3
FK Vardar vs KF Shkëndija analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.1%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
26.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Vardar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
VAR
3 - 1
SHK
49%
25%
26%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
VAR
3 - 0
SHK
67%
21%
13%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2017 |
TER
3 - 1
VAR
64%
22%
14%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
ANZ
1 - 2
VAR
62%
23%
15%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2017 |
VAR
2 - 3
DUK
31%
24%
45%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
KF Shkëndija
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
VAR
3 - 1
SHK
49%
25%
26%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
SHK
2 - 0
SIL
63%
21%
16%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2017 |
SHK
1 - 1
FCR
31%
26%
43%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2016 |
SHK
4 - 0
SHK
65%
18%
16%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
SHK
1 - 0
PEL
64%
21%
15%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |