FK Vardar vs Sileks analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
42.9%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
4
7º
12º
12º
9
3º
9º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
11 | 42 |
1º
|
50.5% | |
|
3º
|
10 | 38 |
2º
|
25.5% | |
|
7º
|
5 | 36 |
3º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
9 | 34 |
4º
|
15% | |
|
2º
|
11 | 34 |
5º
|
11% | |
|
5º
|
9 | 31 |
6º
|
16.5% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 29 |
7º
|
11.5% | |
|
6º
|
6 | 28 |
8º
|
13% | |
|
11º
|
4 | 26 |
9º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
5 | 22 |
10º
|
18.5% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 21 |
11º
|
21.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
4 | 20 |
12º
|
36% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
1.5% | 24% |
|
Mid-table
|
18.5% | 56.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
24.5% | 11% |
|
Relegation
|
55.5% | 3.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Vardar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
NOV
0 - 2
VAR
15%
21%
63%
|
51 | 30 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
GOS
1 - 1
VAR
59%
23%
18%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
VAR
4 - 0
GOR
31%
23%
46%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
VAR
1 - 3
VOK
34%
26%
40%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
SHK
3 - 0
VAR
68%
21%
12%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Sileks
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
KAR
1 - 4
SIL
10%
16%
75%
|
58 | 8 | 50 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
VOK
0 - 3
SIL
42%
27%
31%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
BRE
1 - 2
SIL
28%
24%
48%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
SIL
2 - 1
SHK
32%
28%
40%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
PEL
1 - 0
SIL
35%
27%
38%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |